Association of antibiotic duration and all-cause mortality in a prospective study of patients with ventilator-associated pneumonia in a tertiary-level critical care unit in Southern India.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate all-cause mortality in ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) and determine whether antibiotic duration beyond 8 days is associated with reduction in all-cause mortality in patients admitted with VAP in the intensive care unit. DESIGN: A prospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with VAP based on the National Healthcare Safety Network definition and clinical criteria. SETTING: Single tertiary care hospital in Southern India. PARTICIPANTS: 100 consecutive adult patients diagnosed with VAP were followed up for 28 days postdiagnosis or until discharge. OUTCOME MEASURES: The incidence of mortality at 28 days postdiagnosis was measured. Tests for association and predictors of mortality were determined using χ2 test and multivariate Cox regression analysis. Secondary outcomes included baseline clinical parameters such as age, underlying comorbidities as well as measuring total length of stay, number of ventilator-free days and antibiotic-free days. RESULTS: The overall case fatality rate due to VAP was 46%. There was no statistically significant difference in mortality rates between those receiving shorter antibiotic duration (5-8 days) and those on longer therapy. Among those who survived until day 9, the observed risk difference was 15.1% between both groups, with an HR of 1.057 (95% CI 0.26 to 4.28). In 70.4% of isolates, non-fermenting Gram-negative bacilli were identified, of which the most common pathogen isolated was Acinetobacter baumannii (62%). CONCLUSION: In this hospital-based cohort study, there is insufficient evidence to suggest that prolonging antibiotic duration beyond 8 days in patients with VAP improves survival.

Multidrug-resistant pathogens and ventilator-associated pneumonia in critically ill COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients: a prospective observational monocentric comparative study.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the incidence of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) among critically ill patients. However, a comparison of VAP incidence in COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 cohorts, particularly in a context with a high prevalence of multidrug-resistant (MDR) organisms, is lacking. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a single-center, mixed prospective and retrospective cohort study comparing COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the "Città della Salute e della Scienza" University Hospital in Turin, Italy, between March 2020 and December 2021 (COVID-19 group), with a historical cohort of ICU patients admitted between June 2016 and March 2018 (NON-COVID-19 group). The primary objective was to define the incidence of VAP in both cohorts. Secondary objectives were to evaluate the microbial cause, resistance patters, risk factors and impact on 28 days, ICU and in-hospital mortality, duration of ICU stay, and duration of hospitalization). RESULTS: We found a significantly higher incidence of VAP (51.9% - n = 125) among the 241 COVID-19 patients compared to that observed (31.2% - n = 78) among the 252 NON-COVID-19 patients. The median SOFA score was significantly lower in the COVID-19 group (9, Interquartile range, IQR: 7-11 vs. 10, IQR: 8-13, p < 0.001). The COVID-19 group had a higher prevalence of Gram-positive bacteria-related VAP (30% vs. 9%, p < 0.001), but no significant difference was observed in the prevalence of difficult-to-treat (DTR) or MDR bacteria. ICU and in-hospital mortality in the COVID-19 and NON-COVID-19 groups were 71% and 74%, vs. 33% and 43%, respectively. The presence of COVID-19 was significantly associated with an increased risk of 28-day all-cause hospital mortality (Hazard ratio, HR: 7.95, 95% Confidence Intervals, 95% CI: 3.10-20.36, p < 0.001). Tracheostomy and a shorter duration of mechanical ventilation were protective against 28-day mortality, while dialysis and a high SOFA score were associated with a higher risk of 28-day mortality. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 patients with VAP appear to have a significantly higher ICU and in-hospital mortality risk regardless of the presence of MDR and DTR pathogens. Tracheostomy and a shorter duration of mechanical ventilation appear to be associated with better outcomes.

Nation-wide survey of oral care practice in Japanese intensive care units: A descriptive study.

Oral care for critically ill patients helps provide comfort and prevent ventilator-associated pneumonia. However, a standardized protocol for oral care in intensive care units is currently unavailable. Thus, this study aimed to determine the overall oral care practices, including those for intubated patients, in Japanese intensive care units. We also discuss the differences in oral care methods between Japanese ICUs and ICUs in other countries. This study included all Japanese intensive care units meeting the authorities' standard set criteria, with a minimum of 0.5 nurses per patient at all times and admission of adult patients requiring mechanical ventilation. An online survey was used to collect data. Survey responses were obtained from one representative nurse per intensive care unit. Frequency analysis was performed, and the percentage of each response was calculated. A total of 609 hospitals and 717 intensive care units nationwide participated; among these, responses were collected from 247 intensive care units (34.4%). Of these, 215 (87.0%) and 32 (13.0%) reported standardized and non-standardized oral care, respectively. Subsequently, the data from 215 intensive care units that provided standardized oral care were analyzed in detail. The most common frequency of practicing oral care was three times a day (68.8%). Moreover, many intensive care units provided care at unequal intervals (79.5%), mainly in the morning, daytime, and evening. Regarding oral care methods, 96 (44.7%) respondents used only a toothbrush, while 116 (54.0%) used both a toothbrush and a non-brushing method. The findings of our study reveal current oral care practices in ICUs in Japan. In particular, most ICUs provide oral care three times a day at unequal intervals, and almost all use toothbrushes as a common tool for oral care. The results suggest that some oral care practices in Japanese ICUs differ from those in ICUs in other countries.

Bacterial profiles detected in ventilator-associated pneumonia in Japan: A systematic review.

The primary objective of this study was to identify the predominant organisms associated with ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in Japan. Studies on VAP conducted in Japan were systematically reviewed, and seven studies with a total of 374 cases were included. The detection rate of each bacterium and multidrug-resistant (MDR) pathogen was analyzed using the inverse variance method. Pseudomonas aeruginosa was identified as the predominant pathogen in 29.2 % of cases, followed by methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) (12.0 %), and Klebsiella spp. (9.5 %). An integrated analysis revealed a detection rate of 57.8 % (95 % confidence interval: 48.7%-66.8 %) for MDR pathogens. This review highlights P. aeruginosa and MRSA as the predominant VAP-associated organisms in Japan, with a significant prevalence of MDR pathogens. This analysis provides valuable insights based on the regional distribution of bacteria detected in VAP, which is critical for selecting appropriate empirical therapy.

Data quality review of the Brazilian nosocomial infections surveillance system.

BACKGROUND: Surveillance of healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) is an essential component of hospital infection prevention and control systems. We aimed to assess the quality of the data compiled by the Brazilian HAI Surveillance System from pediatric (PICUs) and neonatal intensive care units (NICUs), between 2012 and 2021. METHODS: Data Quality Review, including adherence, completeness, internal consistency, consistency over time, and consistency of population trend, were computed at both national and state levels based on quality metrics from World Health Organization Toolkit. Incidence rates (or incidence density) of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) and central line-associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI) were obtained from the Brazilian National Nosocomial Infections Surveillance (NNIS) system. Data on sepsis-related mortality, spanning the period from 2012 to 2021, were extracted from the Brazilian National Health Service database (DATASUS). Additionally, correlations between sepsis-related mortality and incidence rates of VAP or CLABSI were calculated. RESULTS: Throughout the majority of the study period, adherence to VAP reporting remained below 75%, exhibiting a positive trend post-2016. Widespread outliers, as well as inconsistencies over time and in population trends, were evident across all 27 states. Only four states maintained consistent adherence levels above 75% for more than 8 years regarding HAI incidence rates. Notably, CLABSI in NICUs boasted the highest reporting adherence among all HAIs, with 148 periods out of 270 (54.8%) exhibiting reporting adherence surpassing 75%. Three states achieved commendable metrics for CLABSI in PICUs, while five states demonstrated favorable results for CLABSI in NICUs. CONCLUSIONS: While adherence to HAI report is improving among Brazilian states, an important room for improvement in the Brazilian NNIS exists. Additional efforts should be made by the Brazilian government to improve the reliability of HAI data, which could serve as valuable guidance for hospital infection prevention and control policies.

The impact of obesity on ventilator-associated pneumonia, a US nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is one of the leading causes of mortality in patients with critical care illness. Since obesity is highly prevalent, we wanted to study its impact on the outcomes of patients who develop VAP. METHODS: Using the National Inpatient Sample (NIS) database from 2017 to 2020, we conducted a retrospective study of adult patients with a principal diagnosis of VAP with a secondary diagnosis with or without obesity according to 10th revision of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes. Several demographics, including age, race, and gender, were analyzed. The primary endpoint was mortality, while the secondary endpoints included tracheostomy, length of stay in days, and patient charge in dollars. Multivariate logistic regression model analysis was used to adjust for confounders, with a p-value less than 0.05 considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The study included 3832 patients with VAP, 395 of whom had obesity. The mean age in both groups was around 58 years, and 68% of the group with obesity were females compared to 40% in females in the group without obesity. Statistically significant comorbidities in the obesity group included a Charlson Comorbidity Index score of three and above, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and sleep apnea. Rates and odds of mortality were not significantly higher in the collective obesity group 39 (10%) vs. 336 (8.5%), p-value 0.62, adjusted odds ratio 1.2, p-value 0.61). The rates and odds of tracheostomy were higher in the obesity group but not statistically significant. Obese patients were also found to have a longer hospitalization. Upon subanalysis of the data, no evidence of racial disparities was found in the care of VAP for both the obese and control groups. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity was not found to be an independent risk factor for worse outcomes in patients who develop VAP in the intensive care unit.

Constructing a Nomogram Model to Estimate the Risk of Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia for Elderly Patients in the Intensive Care Unit.

BACKGROUND: Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) causes heavy losses in terms of finances, hospitalization, and death for elderly patients in the intensive care unit (ICU); however, the risk is difficult to evaluate due to a lack of reliable assessment tools. We aimed to create and validate a nomogram to estimate VAP risk to provide early intervention for high-risk patients. METHODS: Between January 2016 and March 2021, 293 patients from a tertiary hospital in China were retrospectively reviewed as a training set. Another 84 patients were enrolled for model validation from April 2021 to February 2022. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariable logistic regression analysis were employed to select predictors, and a nomogram model was constructed. The calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility of the nomogram were verified. Finally, a web-based online scoring system was created to make the model more practical. RESULTS: The predictors were hypoproteinemia, long-term combined antibiotic use, intubation time, length of mechanical ventilation, and tracheotomy/intubation. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.937 and 0.925 in the training and validation dataset, respectively, suggesting the model exhibited effective discrimination. The calibration curve demonstrated high consistency with the observed result and the estimated values. Decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically applicable. CONCLUSIONS: We have created a novel nomogram model that can be utilized to anticipate VAP risk in elderly ICU patients, which is helpful for healthcare professionals to detect patients at high risk early and adopt protective interventions.

Ceragenin-coated endotracheal tubes for the reduction of ventilator-associated pneumonia: a prospective, longitudinal, cross-over, interrupted time, implementation study protocol (CEASE VAP study).

BACKGROUND: Critically ill patients are at high risk of acquiring ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP), which occurs in approximately 20% of mechanically ventilated patients. VAP results either from aspiration of pathogen-contaminated oropharyngeal secretions or contaminated biofilms that form on endotracheal tubes (ETTs) after intubation. VAP results in increased duration of mechanical ventilation, increased intensive care unit and hospital length of stay, increased risk of death and increased healthcare costs. Because of its impact on patient outcomes and the healthcare system, VAP is regarded as an important patient safety issue and there is an urgent need for better evidence on the efficacy of prevention strategies. Modified ETTs that reduce aspiration of oropharyngeal secretions with subglottic secretion drainage or reduce the occurrence of biofilm with a coating of ceragenins (CSAs) are available for clinical use in Canada. In this implementation study, we will evaluate the efficacy of these two types of Health Canada-licensed ETTs on the occurrence of VAP, and impact on patient-centred outcomes. METHODS: In this ongoing, pragmatic, prospective, longitudinal, interrupted time, cross-over implementation study, we will compare the efficacy of a CSA-coated ETT (CeraShield N8 Pharma) with an ETT with subglottic secretion drainage (Taper Guard, Covidien). The study periods consist of four alternating time periods of 11 or 12 weeks or a total of 23 weeks for each ETT. All patients intubated with the study ETT in each time period will be included in an intention-to-treat analysis. Outcomes will include VAP incidence, mortality and health services utilisation including antibiotic use and length of stay. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been approved by the Health Sciences Research Ethics Board at Queen's University. The results of this study will be actively disseminated through manuscript publication and conference presentations. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05761613.

Pulmonary superinfection diagnosed with bronchoalveolar lavage at intubation in COVID patients: A Swedish single-centre study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID) pneumonia and acute respiratory distress syndrome (C-ARDS) on invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) have been found to be prone to having other microbial findings than severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-2)-CoV-19 in the bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) fluid at intubation causing a superinfection. These BAL results could guide empirical antibiotic treatment in complex clinical situations. However, there are limited data on the relationship between microbial findings in the initial BAL at intubation and later ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) diagnoses. OBJECTIVE: To analyse the incidence of, and microorganisms responsible for, superinfections in C-ARDS patients at the time of first intubation through microbial findings in BAL fluid. To correlate these findings to markers of inflammation in plasma and later VAP development. DESIGN: Retrospective single-centre study. SETTING: One COVID-19 intensive care unit (ICU) at a County Hospital in Sweden during the first year of the pandemic. PATIENTS: All patients with C-ARDS who were intubated in the ICU. RESULTS: We analysed BAL fluid specimens from 112 patients at intubation, of whom 31 (28%) had superinfections. Blood levels of the C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, neutrophil granulocytes, and lymphocytes were indistinguishable between patients with and without a pulmonary superinfection. Ninety-eight (88%) of the patients were treated with IMV for more than 48 h and of these patients, 37% were diagnosed with VAP. The microorganisms identified in BAL at the time of intubation are normally found at the oral, pharyngeal, and airway sites. Only one patient had an indistinguishable bacterial strain responsible for both superinfection at intubation and in VAP. CONCLUSIONS: One fourth of the patients with C-ARDS had a pulmonary superinfection in the lungs that was caused by another microorganism identified at intubation. Routine serum inflammatory markers could not be used to identify this complication. Microorganisms located in BAL at intubation were rarely associated with later VAP development.

Early Predictors of Ventilator Associated Pneumonia in Preterm Neonates Admitted in a Special Newborn Care Unit.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the utility of microscopic examination and culture of endotracheal aspirate (ETA) in the early diagnosis of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in preterm neonates. METHODS: We enrolled 80 consecutive neonates (both inborn and out-born) with gestational age of < 37 weeks admitted in Special Newborn Care Unit (SNCU) and requiring mechanical ventilation (MV) for ≥ 48 hours. The diagnosis of VAP was made using the criteria laid down by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC). RESULTS: 47 preterm neonates (58.5%) developed VAP; the overall incidence was 74.7/1000 ventilator-days. The mean (SD) time (hours) to ETA culture was less as compared to diagnosis based on CDC criteria [108.9 (8.00 hrs) vs 132.4 (53.24); P = 0.004] with sensitivity and specificity of 80.8% and 72.7%, respectively. Outborn delivery was the single most important risk factor for VAP. Multidrug resistant (MDR) Klebsiella pneumoniae (63.9%) was the most prevalent organism. CONCLUSIONS: We noticed a very high incidence of VAP among preterm neonates in SNCU. ETA culture can aid in early diagnosis.

The global epidemiology of ventilator-associated pneumonia caused by multi-drug resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to estimate the global prevalence of multi-drug resistant (MDR) Pseudomonas aeruginosa causing ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). METHODS: The systematic search was conducted in four databases. Original studies describing MDR P. aeruginosa VAP prevalence in adults from 2012- 2022 were included. A meta-analysis, using the random effects model, was conducted for overall, subgroups (country, published year, study duration, and study design), and European data, respectively. Univariate meta-regression based on pooled estimates was also conducted. Systematic review registered in International Prospective Register of Systematic Review (CRD42022384035). RESULTS: In total of 31 studies, containing a total of 7951 cases from 16 countries, were included. The overall pooled prevalence of MDR among P. aeruginosa causing VAP was 33% (95% confidence interval [CI] 27.7-38.3%). The highest prevalence was for Iran at 87.5% (95% CI 69-95.7%), and the lowest was for the USA at 19.7% (95% CI 18.6-20.7%). The European prevalence was 29.9% (95% CI 23.2-36.7%). CONCLUSIONS: This review indicates that the prevalence of MDR P. aeruginosa in patients with VAP is generally high and varies significantly between countries; however, data are insufficient for many countries. The data in this study can provide a reference for VAP management and drug customisation strategies.

Estimating the savings of a national project to prevent healthcare-associated infections in intensive care units.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) have a significant impact on patients' morbidity and mortality, and have a detrimental financial impact on the healthcare system. Various strategies exist to prevent HAIs, but economic evaluations are needed to determine which are most appropriate. AIM: To present the financial impact of a nationwide project on HAI prevention in intensive care units (ICUs) using a quality improvement (QI) approach. METHODS: A health economic evaluation assessed the financial results of the QI initiative 'Saúde em Nossas Mãos' (SNM), implemented in Brazil between January 2018 and December 2020. Among 116 participating institutions, 13 (11.2%) fully reported the aggregate cost and stratified patients (with vs without HAIs) in the pre-intervention and post-intervention periods. Average cost (AC) was calculated for each analysed HAI: central-line-associated bloodstream infections (CLABSIs), ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) and catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTIs). The absorption model and time-driven activity-based costing were used for cost estimations. The numbers of infections that the project could have prevented during its implementation were estimated to demonstrate the financial impact of the SNM initiative. RESULTS: The aggregated ACs calculated for each HAI from these 13 ICUs - US$8480 for CLABSIs, US$10,039 for VAP, and US$7464 for CAUTIs - were extrapolated to the total number of HAIs prevented by the project (1727 CLABSIs, 3797 VAP and 2150 CAUTIs). The overall savings of the SNM as of December 2020 were estimated at US$68.8 million, with an estimated return on investment (ROI) of 765%. CONCLUSION: Reporting accurate financial data on HAI prevention strategies is still challenging in Brazil. These results suggest that a national QI initiative to prevent HAIs in critical care settings is a feasible and value-based approach, reducing financial waste and yielding a significant ROI for the healthcare system.

Assessment of the prognosis, frequency, and isolated bacteria in ventilator-associated pneumonia among patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 pneumonia: A single-center retrospective observational study.

INTRODUCTION: Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) due to severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia is associated with a high incidence of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). We aimed to evaluate the epidemiology of VAP associated with severe COVID-19 pneumonia. METHODS: This retrospective observational study recruited patients with COVID-19-associated ARDS admitted to our center from April 1, 2020, to September 30, 2021. The primary outcome was the survival-to-discharge rate. The secondary outcomes were the VAP rate, time to VAP, length of ICU stay, length of ventilator support, and isolated bacteria. RESULTS: Sixty-eight patients were included in this study; 23 developed VAP. The survival-to-discharge rate was 60.9 % in the VAP group and 84.4 % in the non-VAP group. The median time to VAP onset was 16 days. The median duration of ventilator support and of ICU stay were higher in the VAP group than in the non-VAP group. The VAP rate was 33.8 %. The most common isolated species was Stenotrophomonas maltophilia. On admission, carbapenems were used in a maximum number of cases (75 %). Furthermore, the median body mass index (BMI) was lower and the median sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score on admission was higher in the VAP group than in the non-VAP group. CONCLUSIONS: The survival-to-discharge rate in VAP patients was low. Moreover, VAP patients tended to have long ICU stays, low BMI, and high SOFA scores on admission. Unusually, S. maltophilia was the most common isolated bacteria, which may be related to the frequent use of carbapenems.

Assessing the impact of a multidimensional approach and an 8-component bundle in reducing incidences of ventilator-associated pneumonia across 35 countries in Latin America, Asia, the Middle East, and Eastern Europe.

BACKGROUND: Ventilator associated pneumonia (VAP) occurring in the intensive care unit (ICU) are common, costly, and potentially lethal. METHODS: We implemented a multidimensional approach and an 8-component bundle in 374 ICUs across 35 low and middle-income countries (LMICs) from Latin-America, Asia, Eastern-Europe, and the Middle-East, to reduce VAP rates in ICUs. The VAP rate per 1000 mechanical ventilator (MV)-days was measured at baseline and during intervention at the 2nd month, 3rd month, 4-15 month, 16-27 month, and 28-39 month periods. RESULTS: 174,987 patients, during 1,201,592 patient-days, used 463,592 MV-days. VAP per 1000 MV-days rates decreased from 28.46 at baseline to 17.58 at the 2nd month (RR = 0.61; 95% CI = 0.58-0.65; P < 0.001); 13.97 at the 3rd month (RR = 0.49; 95% CI = 0.46-0.52; P < 0.001); 14.44 at the 4-15 month (RR = 0.51; 95% CI = 0.48-0.53; P < 0.001); 11.40 at the 16-27 month (RR = 0.41; 95% CI = 0.38-0.42; P < 0.001), and to 9.68 at the 28-39 month (RR = 0.34; 95% CI = 0.32-0.36; P < 0.001). The multilevel Poisson regression model showed a continuous significant decrease in incidence rate ratios, reaching 0.39 (p < 0.0001) during the 28th to 39th months after implementation of the intervention. CONCLUSIONS: This intervention resulted in a significant VAP rate reduction by 66% that was maintained throughout the 39-month period.

The Impact of Nursing Education on Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia Prevention Bundle to Reduce Incidence of Infection: A Quality Improvement Project.

BACKGROUND: Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is a health care-acquired infection that leads to poor patient outcomes, increased length of hospital stay, exhaustion of health care resources, and unnecessary increases in health care costs. OBJECTIVES: This project was designed to educate registered nurses on the importance of an evidence-based VAP prevention bundle that reduces the overall incidence of VAP infections. METHODS: Patients (N = 146) were enrolled in this quasi-experimental project that took place in a 14-bed neuro trauma surgical burn intensive care unit (ICU) at a level 1 trauma center. Data were collected from the chart review of patients admitted to the neuro trauma surgical burn ICU prior to and after nursing education intervention. The difference in VAP rate and enhanced nursing knowledge were the primary outcome measures. RESULTS: Data suggest improvement in several patient outcomes. Ventilator days were shortened from 17.45 days to 13.42 days (P = .085), and ICU length of stay decreased from 24.77 days to 17.62 days (P = .035). Patient laboratory data show improved white blood cell values (P < .001), less oxygen requirements (P < .001), and fewer patients meeting the diagnostic criteria for VAP (P = .073). DISCUSSION: Results suggest there were no statistically significant changes in the knowledge of registered nurses or oral care bundle compliance; however, improvements in patient data following the provider education suggest that continued education to nursing staff will have a positive impact on reducing hospital stay and significant costs associated with a VAP infection.

VAP risk index: Early prediction and hospital phenotyping of ventilator-associated pneumonia using machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in intensive care units (ICUs). Early identification of patients at risk of VAP enables early intervention, which in turn improves patient outcomes. We developed a predictive model for individualized risk assessment utilizing machine learning to identify patients at risk of developing VAP. METHODS: The Philips eRI dataset, a multi-institution electronic medical record (EMR), was used for model development. For adult (≥18y) patients, we propose a set of criteria using indications of the start of a new antibiotic treatment temporally contiguous to a microbiological test to mark suspected infection events, of which those with a positive culture are labeled as presumed VAP if 1) the event occurs at least 48 h after intubation, and 2) there are no indications of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) or other hospital-acquired infections (HAI) in the patient charts. The resulting VAP and no-VAP (control) cases were then used to build an ensemble of decision trees to predict the risk of VAP in the next 24 h using data on patients' demographics, vitals, labs, and ventilator settings. RESULTS: The resulting model predicts the development of VAP 24 h in advance with an AUC of 76 % and AUPRC of 75 %. Additionally, we group hospitals that are similar in healthcare processes into distinct clusters and characterize VAP prediction for the identified hospital clusters. We show inter-hospital (teaching status and healthcare processes) and cohort-specific (age groups, gender, early vs late VAP, ICU mortality status) differences in VAP prediction and associated symptomologies. CONCLUSIONS: Our proposed VAP criteria use clinical actions to mark incidences of presumed VAP infection, which enables the development of models for early detection of these events. We curated a patient cohort using these criteria and used it to build a model for predicting impending VAP events prior to clinical suspicions. We present a clustering approach for tailoring the VAP prediction model for different hospital types based on their EMR data characteristics. The model provides an instantaneous risk score that allows early interventions and confirmatory diagnostic actions.

Application of ventilator-associated events (VAE) in ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) notified in Brazil (IMPACTO MR-PAV): a protocol for a cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Certain criteria for ventilator-associated events (VAE) definition might influence the type of an event, its detection rate and consequently the resource expenditure in intensive care unit. The Impact of Infections by Antimicrobial-Resistant Microorganisms - Ventilator-Associated Pneumonia (IMPACTO MR-PAV) aims to evaluate the incidence and diagnostic accuracy of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) using the current criteria for VAP surveillance in Brazil versus the VAE criteria defined by the US National Healthcare Safety Network-Center for Diseases Control and Prevention (CDC) criteria. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The study will be conducted in around 15 centres across Brazil from October 2022 to December 2023. Trained healthcare professionals will collect data and compare the incidence of VAP using both the current criteria for VAP surveillance in Brazil and the VAE criteria defined by the CDC. The accuracy of the two criteria for identifying VAP will also be analysed. It will also characterise other events associated with mechanical ventilation (ventilator-associated condition, infection-related ventilator-associated complication) and adjudicate VAP reported to the Brazilian Health Regulatory Agency (ANVISA) using current epidemiological diagnostic criteria. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board under the number 52354721.0.1001.0070. The study's primary outcome measure will be the incidence of VAP using the two different surveillance criteria, and the secondary outcome measures will be the accuracy of the two criteria for identifying VAP and the adjudication of VAP reported to ANVISA. The results will contribute to the improvement of VAP surveillance in Brazil and may have implications for other countries that use similar criteria. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05589727; Clinicaltrials.gov.